Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005430 0.006198 0.007083 0.008189 0.009549 0.011190 0.013351
2025-11-16 0.004248 0.005155 0.006298 0.007879 0.010068 0.013092 0.017780
2025-11-23 0.003729 0.004721 0.006050 0.008031 0.011041 0.015695 0.024052
2025-11-30 0.003288 0.004288 0.005689 0.007895 0.011494 0.017594 0.030043
2025-12-07 0.002922 0.003895 0.005307 0.007628 0.011636 0.018974 0.035763
2025-12-14 0.002670 0.003631 0.005068 0.007525 0.012006 0.020859 0.043695
2025-12-21 0.002539 0.003526 0.005051 0.007775 0.013057 0.024468 0.058709
2025-12-28 0.002450 0.003473 0.005104 0.008150 0.014441 0.029417 0.083139
2026-01-04 0.002325 0.003349 0.005023 0.008260 0.015303 0.033528 0.110834
2026-01-11 0.002186 0.003187 0.004859 0.008180 0.015721 0.036671 0.140366
2026-01-18 0.002078 0.003067 0.004752 0.008195 0.016369 0.040879 0.186308
2026-01-25 0.001944 0.002892 0.004528 0.007937 0.016279 0.042676 0.222552
2026-02-01 0.001790 0.002682 0.004238 0.007534 0.015816 0.043330 0.257625
2026-02-08 0.001667 0.002517 0.004020 0.007263 0.015669 0.045261 0.318991
2026-02-15 0.001607 0.002457 0.003989 0.007400 0.016701 0.052858 0.519793
2026-02-22 0.001523 0.002348 0.003855 0.007278 0.016948 0.057311 0.745737
2026-03-01 0.001434 0.002223 0.003681 0.007039 0.016773 0.059653 0.988246
2026-03-08 0.001369 0.002137 0.003574 0.006948 0.017052 0.064849 1.554549
2026-03-15 0.001340 0.002116 0.003595 0.007171 0.018467 0.078753 4.289594
2026-03-22 0.001323 0.002115 0.003655 0.007506 0.020433 0.100418 30.727768
2026-03-29 0.001285 0.002073 0.003627 0.007604 0.021564 0.118541 2032.339538
2026-04-05 0.001237 0.002006 0.003540 0.007532 0.022001 0.131653 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001198 0.001957 0.003487 0.007546 0.022818 0.151653 NaN